Guest post: Plain old bad communication

Originally a comment by Bjarte Foushaug on Highest ever.

I never bought into the “Information Deficit Model” of climate change denial (people don’t accept the science of climate change because they just don’t know what it says), nor for that matter do I buy the idea that “they have just been misinformed”. Sure, there is plenty of misinformation out there, but that in itself doesn’t explain why people actively and selectively seek out the misinformation, and are determined to believe it over the real information, which, after all, is also out there.

Which is not to say that there isn’t also plenty of plain old bad communication going on from the “right” side. My favorite candidate for the worst piece of science communication ever are the endless debates about whether or not a particular year is “the hottest year on record”. If you look at all the heat trapped in the Earth system (the “energy imbalance”), every new year is now the hottest on record, but how much of this excess heat is measured at the Earth’s surface varies because of the constant exchange of heat between the oceans and the atmosphere (through phenomena like El Niño / La Niña). When scientists argue over whether this is the “hottest year on record” what they actually mean is “hottest as measured at the Earth’s surface” for the simple reason that that’s the signal that’s easiest to detect (cf. looking where the light is good) even though everyone agrees that most of the heat ends up in the oceans. Still I don’t think I have ever talked to another lay person (even ones who are not climate change deniers) who didn’t take a formulation like “the hottest year since 1998” to mean that the Earth system as a whole was hotter in 1998.

Comments

2 responses to “Guest post: Plain old bad communication”

  1. Artymorty Avatar

    Climate denialism is like rooting for the Maple Leafs: you’re siding with an objectively, plain-obviously terrible team, one that’s been on a decades-long losing streak, for reasons that are wholly irrational: because they’re my team. Because I hate their opponents more. Because I became attached so long ago that I can no longer remember how or when or why. Because the more my side keeps losing, the tighter my commitment becomes, because that kind of pressure on the group perversely strengthens the bond between me and my fellow strugglers.

    Climate denialism, like MAGA, like Evangelical Christianity… they’re team sports. It’s tribes, tribes, tribes, everywhere!

  2. Ophelia Benson Avatar

    You know…that’s really interesting, considering the fact that there’s a hell of a lot of social pressure and preaching about the vital importance of team work. It’s bound to be true in some ways, I assume, because it’s easier to pick up a large heavy thing if you have more than one person to do it, but it’s pushed as not just accurate in some ways but profoundly true in all ways.

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